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Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (FIS) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered 5% GAAP revenue growth to $2.616B and adjusted EBITDA of $1.041B with margin flat YoY at 39.8%; adjusted EPS was $1.36 while GAAP EPS was $(0.90) due to a $539M investor-level tax expense tied to the pending sale of the remaining Worldpay stake .
  • Banking led outperformance: segment revenue +6% YoY to $1.808B on 7% recurring revenue growth; Capital Markets +6% GAAP/+5% adjusted to $765M; corporate revenue fell 25% to $43M .
  • Management raised FY 2025 ranges: revenue to $10.520–$10.570B, adjusted EBITDA to $4.315–$4.335B, and adjusted EPS to $5.72–$5.80; introduced Q3 guidance with revenue $2.650–$2.665B and adjusted EPS $1.46–$1.50 .
  • Strategic and product catalysts: execution on Future Forward (commercial excellence, working capital), digital assets via Circle/USDC integration, and AI roadmap (Treasury GPT upgrades; Banker Assist by YE) reinforced multi-segment momentum .
  • Capital returns and balance sheet: $246M buybacks and $212M dividends in Q2 (total $459M); reiterated $1.2B buyback goal and declared $0.40 quarterly dividend payable Sept 24, 2025; debt outstanding $12.9B at quarter-end .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Banking momentum: “We delivered a strong quarter led by momentum in our banking business” and raised full-year outlook on segment strength .
    • Recurring revenue and implementation: 81% of total revenue was recurring; implementations drove growth with sequential margin improvement of ~200 bps .
    • Product and innovation pipeline: Money Movement Hub expansion to USDC via Circle; AI initiatives (Treasury GPT upgrades; Banker Assist targeted by YE) garnered strong client interest and pipeline validation .
  • What Went Wrong

    • GAAP earnings hit by Worldpay tax: GAAP diluted EPS of $(0.90) driven by $539M investor-level tax expense from change in intent to sell remaining Worldpay interest .
    • Banking margin pressure: segment adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 70 bps YoY to 43.6% due to an ~$8M bad-debt charge and cost allocation noise; management expects margin expansion to resume in Q3/Q4 .
    • Capital Markets softness: temporary slowdown in lending syndication activity weighed on recurring growth in Q2, though July/August volumes rebounded to Q1 levels .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.599 $2.532 $2.616
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Billions)$1.115 $0.958 $1.041
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)42.9% 37.8% 39.8%
Adjusted EPS ($)$1.40 $1.21 $1.36
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.56 $0.15 $(0.90)
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$702 $368 $292
Recurring Revenue (% of Total)81% 81%
SegmentQ4 2024 Revenue ($MM)Q1 2025 Revenue ($MM)Q2 2025 Revenue ($MM)Q4 2024 Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)Q1 2025 Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)Q2 2025 Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)
Banking Solutions$1,717 $1,718 $1,808 42.6% 40.1% 43.6%
Capital Market Solutions$821 $764 $765 55.1% 48.3% 50.3%
Corporate & Other$61 $50 $43 Adj. EBITDA loss $69MM Adj. EBITDA loss $99MM Adj. EBITDA loss $133MM
KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Recurring Revenue Growth (YoY, Company)4% 4% 6%
Capital Returned ($MM)$1,192 (buybacks + dividends) $670 $459
Debt Outstanding ($MM)$11,300 $12,000 $12,900

Note: Wall Street consensus via S&P Global was unavailable for Q2/Q3 2025 despite attempts to retrieve (“Primary EPS Consensus Mean”, “Revenue Consensus Mean”, “EBITDA Consensus Mean”); beat/miss vs consensus cannot be assessed.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (May 6, 2025)Current Guidance (Aug 5, 2025)Change
Revenue ($USD Billions)FY 2025$10.435 – $10.495 $10.520 – $10.570 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Billions)FY 2025$4.305 – $4.335 $4.315 – $4.335 Raised low-end
Adjusted EPS ($)FY 2025$5.70 – $5.80 $5.72 – $5.80 Raised low-end
Revenue ($USD Billions)Q3 2025$2.650 – $2.665 New
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Billions)Q3 2025$1.105 – $1.120 New
Adjusted EPS ($)Q3 2025$1.46 – $1.50 New
Banking Segment Revenue Growth (%)FY 20253.7% – 4.4% (prior) 4.0% – 4.5% (current) Raised
Capital Markets Revenue Growth (%)FY 20256.5% – 7.0% 6.5% – 7.0% Maintained
Dividend per Share ($)Quarterly$0.40 declared for Sep 24 payment $0.40 payable Sept 24, 2025 Maintained
Buybacks ($)FY 2025~$1.2B target ~$1.2B target (reiterated) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI initiativesStrategy emphasis; build/partner model; no specific AI timelines in Q4 PR Treasury GPT upgraded; Banker Assist agentic AI targeted by YE; strong conference feedback and pilots Expanding execution
Digital assets/stablecoinNo specific stablecoin updates in Q1 PR; payments modernization ongoing Circle partnership integrates USDC into Money Movement Hub; aligned with new U.S. stablecoin legislation New capability/catalyst
Banking commercial excellenceRecord core wins in 2024; 150 bps banking acceleration tied to sales/retention in 2025 Banking +6% revenue; recurring +7%; margin contraction driven by ~$8M bad-debt; margin expansion expected H2 Improving growth; margins recover H2
Capital Markets lendingQ1 had outsized license renewal (nonrecurring +47%) Q2 recurring softened on loan syndication slowdown; July/August rebounded to Q1 pace Normalizing higher
Pricing/macroPricing discipline; durable recurring revenue noted Positive net pricing in both segments; no material change; competitive landscape manageable Stable
Working capital/cash conversionQ1 conversion 71%; WCap initiatives (supplier terms, governance) Q2 conversion 52%; reiterates 82–85% FY target On track for FY
M&A/regulatoryAnnounced Issuer Solutions acquisition and Worldpay stake sale (HSR clearance later) HSR period expired; deal on track; leverage ~3.0x; target 2.8x LT Advancing to close

Management Commentary

  • Stephanie Ferris (CEO): “We delivered a strong quarter led by momentum in our banking business… We are raising our full-year outlook” .
  • Ferris on innovation: “We are driving AI innovation… on track to launch our Banker Assist solution by year end… Treasury GPT… multiple AI pilots” .
  • James Kehoe (CFO): “Revenue grew 5% to $2.6 billion exceeding our outlook… EBITDA margin improved ~200 bps sequentially… adjusted EPS of $1.36” .
  • Kehoe on guidance: “We are raising our full year ranges for revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS… increasing the low end of our EPS range by $0.02, to 10–11% growth” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Banking drivers: Higher-quality new recurring sales and improved retention underpin acceleration; Everlink tuck-in adds ~$20M full-year revenue (20–25 bps) .
  • Bad-debt charge: ~$8M in Banking (~45 bps of ~70 bps YoY margin contraction); margins expected to expand in Q3/Q4 with cost programs and easier comps .
  • Capital Markets: Lending syndication slowdown impacted recurring growth; July/August rebound above prior year; visibility supports H2 acceleration .
  • Pricing: Both segments posted positive net pricing; industry pressure not materially impacting FIS due to scale/product quality .
  • Stablecoin/AI demand: Broad client interest in capabilities; FIS enabling institutions across payment types to avoid lagging offerings .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus via S&P Global for Q2 2025 EPS/revenue/EBITDA was unavailable; comparative beat/miss analysis to consensus cannot be provided. Management stated revenue and adjusted EBITDA exceeded their own outlook and adjusted EPS landed at the midpoint, signaling operational outperformance vs company guidance .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Banking momentum plus commercial excellence are driving sustained recurring growth; expect H2 margin expansion as bad-debt noise fades and cost programs stack—positioning for operating leverage into year-end .
  • Capital Markets’ lending-driven dip appears transitory with activity normalizing; underlying license/professional services pipeline supports full-year segment outlook .
  • Guidance raised on revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS; introduced Q3 guide with sequential growth—watch delivery vs tighter ranges and FX margin headwinds (~25 bps) highlighted by CFO .
  • Strategic portfolio reshaping (Issuer Solutions acquisition; sale of Worldpay minority stake) advances simplification and cash flow accretion, with leverage trending toward 2.8x in ~18 months post close .
  • Product catalysts: Circle/USDC integration and AI roadmap (Banker Assist, Treasury GPT) can enhance competitive differentiation and cross-sell across large FI relationships .
  • Capital returns remain robust: $459M in Q2, $1.2B buyback target reiterated, and $0.40 quarterly dividend declared—supportive for TSR targets of ~12–13% .
  • Risk watch: GAAP results influenced by equity-method and investor-level tax impacts from Worldpay; macro-sensitive lending syndication and FX can create near-term volatility even as adjusted metrics remain steady .

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